Skip to main content

Job Growth Pushing Housing Toward ‘Normal’ Levels Team Thayer Real Estate News

home-protectionThe housing market is slowly but surely inching closer to normal levels with the help of economic and job growth.
According to the National Association of Home Builders (NAHB)/First American Leading Markets Index (LMI) released Thursday, markets in 75 of the approximately 360 metro areas nationwide have returned to or exceeded their last normal levels of economic and housing activity in the second quarter of 2015. This is an increase of 13 markets year-over-year.
“The markets are gradually improving and economic and job growth continue to strengthen, which bodes well for housing for the remainder of the year,” said Tom Woods, NAHB chairman and a home builder and developer from Blue Springs, Missouri.
The NAHB reported that the index's score increased on point to .92, which means that the nationwide average is at 92 percent of normal economic and housing activity. Although this increase may seem marginal, this one point rise up places the market closer to the one point goal, indicating that it has returned to normal. In addition, 66 percent of markets have shown improvement year-over-year.
“Of the three elements in the LMI (house prices, permits, and employment), house prices have had the broadest recovery, with 345 markets returning to or exceeding their last normal level,” said David Crowe, NAHB's chief economist. “Meanwhile, 64 markets have met or exceeded their normal employment levels. The housing permit level has made the least progress toward normality, with only 26 markets at or above their last normal level.”
The index found that Baton Rouge, Louisiana continues to top the list of major metros on the LMI, with a score of 1.47, 47 percent better than its last normal market level. Other major metros leading the list include Austin, Texas; Honolulu, Hawaii; Houston, Texas; and Oklahoma City. Rounding out the top ten are San Jose, California; Los Angeles, California; Charleston, South Carolina; Salt Lake City, Utah; and Nashville, Tennessee.
NAHB Graph

Popular posts from this blog

Grass Seed Video

When Will Bank Foreclosurews ‘Normalize’? Team Thayer #realestate #investor #housing #market #news #oregon

With much of the talk surrounding the housing market centered on “normalization” or returning to its pre-crisis state, one metric which the market is watching is the distressed sales share—the share of REO and short sales that comprise total residential home sales. For February 2016, the distressed sales share declined by 2.9 percentage points over-the-year (and 0.4 percentage points over-the month) down to 11 percent, according to  data released by CoreLogic  on Thursday. At their peak in January 2009, distressed sales accounted for nearly one-third of all residential home sales (32.4 percent) but has been declining steadily since then. By comparison, the pre-crisis share of distressed sales was typically around 2 percent; CoreLogic estimates that if the current rate of year-over-year decline continues, the distressed sales share will reach the “normal” pre-crisis level in slightly more than two years. “Prior to the housing crash, the distressed share of total...

How Far Has the Economy Fallen in a Month? Team Thayer #realestate #housing #economic ##market #news #oregon

If the  May  Wall Street Journal  economist survey  is any indication, the economy is a lot worse off than it was as recently as a month ago. In the last three surveys conducted by the  Journal  in which economists are asked when they think the Federal Reserve  will next raise the federal funds target rate, the consensus answer has been June. In April’s survey, three-quarters of economists surveyed said they believe that a rate hike by the Fed will be announced at the next FOMC meeting on June 14 and 15. May’s survey told a different story, however. Less than a third (31 percent) out of the 70 economists surveyed said they believe the rate hike will take place in June; 21 percent said they believe it will take place in July. The same percentage of economists who believe that a June rate hike will take place (31 percent) said they think it will take place in September. What happened to the economy in the last month? A couple of setbacks—first,...