Friday, June 5, 2015

How will Oregon's Home Value's will be affected be measure 91? Team Thayer Official Real Estate News



Recreational Marijuana in Oregon
I was prompted from feedback on my last report on this subject to take a look at Colorado as a template on how to decipher the effect measure 91 will have on the market economics.  The news for investors  based on the Denver housing market is positive to say the least. 

"There has been a huge bump in real estate prices due to the legalization of marijuana," according to James Paine, managing partner at West Realty Advisor's. "It's massively pushed up raw land and industry prices."
In March, 

Denver experienced the second-largest jump in annual home prices at 10%, just behind San Francisco, according to the S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Index.

"The pot industry is creating jobs we didn't have before," said Kelly Moye, a Re/Max real estate agent who has worked in the Denver area for 24 years. "It's brand new, it adds a whole new factor to the area; you have real estate needs, housing needs, job needs."


While the legalization of marijuana isn't the only thing driving the market, it has contributed to job growth in the area that has people flocking to Denver.
"The pot industry is creating jobs we didn't have before," said Kelly Moye, a Re/Max real estate agent who has worked in the Denver area for 24 years. "It's brand new, it adds a whole new factor to the area; you have real estate needs, housing needs, job needs."
The industry has created jobs beyond growers and dispensaries. Legal marijuana has also been a boon for existing businesses like security and HVAC companies who service the new "green" businesses. "Electricians have grown from mom and pops to big-time electric companies," said J.P. Speers, an agent at ‎Berkshire Hathaway Home Services.


Affect of Marijuana legalization in Oregon Economics 

Denver and its surrounding areas have also become a hot spot for the tech industry, adding to the job rush.
"It's fairly affordable, at least for now," said Moye. "The quality of life is great and employers are bringing their employees here."
it's difficult to pinpoint exactly what enticed a person to move to the state. "A lot of them try to hide it," said Speers, who has worked with clients moving to the state because of legalization"They don't necessarily say they are coming out to be part of the marijuana industry."
He said he helped find a rental unit for a mom coming from out of state to access medicinal marijuana for her daughter.
He's also seen an increase in lease-to-purchase or home rentals for tenants looking to start growing operations. "They are not necessarily legal operations either," he said. 
While the new law might be creating more jobs and adding to the housing market's strength, it can sometimes work against sellers. "I had a lot of trouble selling one property because one of the neighbors was growing so much that buyers were concerned," said Speers.
First-time buyers and anyone looking for a home at the lower-end of the market face stiff competition. "There are a lot of first-time buyers," said Toby Waters, a real estate agent with Vision Denver Homes. "The rental market is insane, you can save money by buying a house."
Inventory has been tight in the city. In a normal market, Denver typically has around 24,000 listings, according to Moye. But right now, she said there are only around 4,000.


Growing Marijuana Legally In Oregon Tax chart 

But there is the nagging question of just how long the real estate buzz will last.
Moye said the market has room to run for five to seven years barring any major economic disasters.
If more states legalize marijuana, that could also take away some of the state's luster. "We are going to continue to see an increase in population growth based on marijuana until other states start picking up recreational laws," said Speers.

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