Default notices, scheduled auctions and bank repossessions — were reported on 126,868 U.S. properties in May 2015, up 1% from the previous month and up 16% from a year ago to a 19-month high, according to the latest report from RealtyTrac.
The U.S. foreclosure rate in May was one in every 1,041 housing units with a foreclosure filing.
The increase in May was driven primarily by a jump in bank repossessions, which at 44,892 were down 1% from the previous month but up 58% from a year ago, and a 5% year-over-year increase in scheduled foreclosure auctions.
REOs increased on a year-over-year basis for the third consecutive month, and scheduled foreclosure auctions have increased on a year-over-year basis in four of the last eight months. May REOs were 56% below the peak of 102,134 REOs in September 2013 but still nearly twice the average monthly number of 23,119 in 2005 and 2006 before the housing bubble burst in August 2006. (Also see special methodology note on REO data collection below.)
“May foreclosure numbers are a classic good news-bad news scenario, with the number of homeowners starting the foreclosure process stabilizing at pre-housing crisis levels but the number of homeowners actually losing their homes to foreclosure still well above pre-crisis levels and on the rise,” said Daren Blomquist, vice president at RealtyTrac. “Lenders and courts are pushing through stubborn foreclosure cases that have been languishing in foreclosure limbo for years as options to prevent foreclosure are exhausted or left untapped.”
Following the national trend, 38 states and the District of Columbia posted year-over-year increases in REOs, including New Jersey (up 197%), New York (up 116%), Ohio (up 114%), Georgia (up 108%), Pennsylvania (up 106%), Florida (up 63%), Michigan (up 63%), Maryland (up 62%), and California (up 31%).
“Even though national foreclosures increased a tad and REOs in California jumped we saw an expected settling in the Los Angeles metro numbers,” said Mark Hughes, chief operating officer with First Team Real Estate, covering the Southern California market. “As we settle back into more stable markets we will see some areas up and some down in foreclosure starts but overall we are settling back towards pre-boom distress percentages as a part of the overall market. There’s still more inventory to clean up but all indicators are these are the final and in some cases the toughest distressed properties to move through the system. A drop in distressed inventory adds even more upward pressure on pricing as inventory still lags behind good buyer interest across the region.”
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| Team Thayer Real Estate News |
(Source: RealtyTrac)
“As available housing inventory begins to increase, we are noticing slight increases in foreclosure activity across Ohio — particularly, in Columbus for homes priced under $200,000, which appears to be driven by Home Equity Lines of Credit maturity loans, as well as an aging population of homeowners not understanding opportunities available to them from increased area prices,” said Michael Mahon, president at HER Realtors, covering the Cincinnati, Dayton and Columbus markets in Ohio. “As income has not kept up with growing medical costs and credit expenses, many of these same homeowners are now in negative cash flow and equity situations. These homeowners should reach out to a neighborhood real estate or mortgage professional immediately to find out what options are available to them.”
A total of 51,414 U.S. properties started the foreclosure process for the first time in May 2015, down 1% from the previous month but up 4% from a year ago after four consecutive months of year-over-year decreases. Despite the increase, U.S. foreclosure starts are still below pre-crisis levels from 2005 and 2006 when they averaged 52,279 a month before the housing price bubble burst in August 2006.
Twenty-five states posted year-over-year increases in foreclosure starts, including New Jersey (up 73%), Virginia (up 39%), Missouri (up 19%), Massachusetts (up 14%), and Washington (up 11%).
A total of 49,413 properties in May were scheduled for a future foreclosure auction (scheduled foreclosure auctions are foreclosure starts in some states), up 6% from the previous month and up 5% from a year ago. U.S. scheduled foreclosure auctions so far this year are running about 40% higher than their pre-crisis levels from 2005 and 2006.
Twenty-six states posted increases in scheduled foreclosure auctions from a year ago, including New York (up 118%), Illinois (up 23%), New Jersey (up 22%), and Maryland (up 11%).
Driven by a 63% annual increase in REOs, overall foreclosure activity in Florida increased 4% from the previous month and was up 7% from a year ago in May, and the state’s foreclosure rate ranked No. 1 for the month with one in every 409 housing units with a foreclosure filing.
Other states with foreclosure rates among the top 10 highest nationwide included New Jersey (one in every 483 housing units with a foreclosure filing), Maryland (one in every 531 housing units), Nevada (one in every 590 housing units), Ohio (one in every 763 housing units), Illinois (one in every 765 housing units), Indiana (one in every 963 housing units), and South Carolina (one in every 987 housing units).
Among the nation’s 20 largest metropolitan statistical areas, 13 posted an annual increase in foreclosure activity in May, including Dallas (up 64%), St. Louis (up 56%), Baltimore (up 35%), New York (up 34%), Philadelphia (up 28%), Atlanta (up 27%), Detroit (up 27%), San Francisco (up 25%), Houston (up 18%), Miami (up 17%), and Seattle (up 10% from a year ago).
“The increase in foreclosure activity in the Seattle area doesn’t concern me at this time,” said Matthew Gardner, Chief Economist at Windermere Real Estate, covering the Seattle market. “Given the growth in home values in our region, I believe that it’s fairly safe to assume that this increase is primarily a function of banks starting foreclosure proceedings after having delayed taking action for some time. I would not be surprised to see the annual rate continue to remain elevated for a while as we get through the pipeline.”
Of metro areas with a population of over 200,000, those with the highest foreclosure rates were Atlantic City, New Jersey (one in every 230 housing units with a foreclosure filing), Lakeland, Florida (one in every 331 housing units), Ocala, Florida (one in every 335 housing units), Miami, Florida (one in every 347 housing units) and Jacksonville, Florida (one in every 348 housing units).
Justin Lee Thayer is Lane counties expert in market analysis for real estate investors. Call Justin @ 541-543-7287
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